Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 248.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 248.5 (-110) after it opened @ 249.5 (-114).

Pros

The Philadelphia Eagles will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Eagles have been the 6th-most pass-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 68.8% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
Jalen Hurts has been among the best per-play quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 7.45 yards-per-target while ranking in the 81st percentile.

Cons

The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
296
Passing Yards