Team Profile
Buffalo Bills
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26.5% 2ndOff DVOA
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52.4% 2ndPassing DVOA
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12.4% 3rdRushing DVOA
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-4.7% 10thDef DVOA
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4.4% 13thDef Passing DVOA
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-17% 6thDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For31.8 2nd
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Points Against22.1 12th
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Yards Per Game370.0 7th
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Yards Allowed Per Game346.0 23rd
Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid (knee) has not enjoyed the second-year breakout predicted by many. Through a three-game absence and underwhelming play, Kincaid is the current TE23. The knee injury that cost him time keeps him on the injury report, but there aren't any concerns about Kincaid missing more time. The New England defense is average against tight ends, so the matchup isn't anything to worry about. However, the Bills are favored by 14 points, which could lead to a reliance on the ground game. Kincaid is just outside the TE1 range this week and fantasy managers could look elsewhere given his lack of production.
Buffalo Bills wide receiver Keon Coleman was quiet in all but one play (a 64-yard reception) against the Detroit Lions. Despite his lackluster usage, the rookie was on the field for 63% of the snaps in his first game back from a wrist injury. That was more than any other Buffalo receiver. Coleman may play the most but Buffalo often rotates their receivers and Josh Allen spreads the football around. Khalil Shakir, who mans the slot, is the most reliable of the group. The Bills are favored by 14 points, which could lead to more rushing attempts rather than downfield throws, an area where Coleman shines. The second-round pick is in the WR5 range in the rankings this week.
If you want consistency, Buffalo Bills wide receiver Khalil Shakir will deliver. Buffalo's slot receiver has failed to reach double-digit PPR fantasy points twice: Once in his first game back from an ankle injury and once in a snowstorm. That's led to Shakir's current standing as the WR25. He has a target share north of 23% and maintains his status as Josh Allen's favorite wide receiver. A blowout will be the primary concern for Shakir's fantasy managers. The Bills are a 14-point home favorite and could take their foot off the gas earlier than usual. Shakir ranks as a low-end, but safe, WR2.
It's safe to call Buffalo Bills wide receiver Amari Cooper (wrist) a risky fantasy football option in the team's matchup against the New England Patriots. The veteran earned 14 targets in a shootout versus Los Angeles two weeks ago. He followed that up with zero targets against Detroit in another shootout. Rookie Keon Coleman and tight end Dalton Kincaid returned to the lineup last week and created more competition for targets. Cooper has been a part-time player since his arrival in upstate New York, often playing fewer snaps than Khalil Shakir, Coleman, and Mack Hollins. Cooper could also see a lot of star cornerback Christian Gonzalez on Sunday. There are no concerns about his wrist injury, but fantasy managers shouldn't trust Cooper in lineups this weekend.
Buffalo Bills running back James Cook is a must-start RB1 for this weekend's fantasy football playoffs. The 25-year-old bounced back against Detroit last week (133 yards, two touchdowns) after a disappointing affair two weeks ago in Los Angeles (29 yards). Cook takes his momentum into a home matchup against New England. The Patriots have fielded a below-average rush defense all season. The Bills are favored by 14 points, which could lead to more rushing attempts for Cook and his backfield mates, Ray Davis and Ty Johnson.