Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Logan ThomasReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Commanders vs. Eagles
Right now, Logan Thomas’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (-115) after it opened @ 32.5 (-118).
Pros
- The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 13.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (39.1 per game) this year.
- Logan Thomas has posted significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (39.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).
Cons
- The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles project as the 5th-best group of DTs in football this year with their pass rush.
Projection
THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards
38
Receiving Yards
