Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Evan EngramReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Steelers vs. Jaguars
Right now, Evan Engram’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
- The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- Evan Engram has run a route on 87.5% of his team’s passing plays this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
- In this week’s game, Evan Engram is expected by the predictive model to position himself in the 98th percentile among tight ends with 7.8 targets.
- With a fantastic 46.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (92nd percentile) this year, Evan Engram ranks among the top pass-game tight ends in football.
Cons
- The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 30.0) versus TEs this year.
- The Steelers pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.3%) versus TEs this year (59.3%).
- When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Pittsburgh’s collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
43
Receiving Yards
43
Receiving Yards
