Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Brandon AiyukReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Vikings vs. 49ers
Right now, Brandon Aiyuk’s receiving yards prop is set at 73.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 73.5 (-110) after it opened @ 65.5 (-110).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- In this week’s contest, Brandon Aiyuk is predicted by the predictive model to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.3 targets.
- After averaging 69.0 air yards per game last season, Brandon Aiyuk has been rising this season, now boasting 109.0 per game.
- Brandon Aiyuk has accrued significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (91.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
- The Minnesota Vikings defense has conceded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (183.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
Cons
- The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
- Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to be the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are projected by the projection model to run only 62.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
- The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
- The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
96
Receiving Yards
96
Receiving Yards
