Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Brandon AiyukReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Browns vs. 49ers
Right now, Brandon Aiyuk’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-110) after it opened @ 50.5 (-114).
Pros
- Brandon Aiyuk has run a route on 93.4% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
- In this week’s game, Brandon Aiyuk is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 77th percentile among wide receivers with 7.0 targets.
- After averaging 69.0 air yards per game last year, Brandon Aiyuk has gotten better this year, currently boasting 99.0 per game.
- Brandon Aiyuk has posted significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (95.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
- Brandon Aiyuk’s sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 68.9% to 81.9%.
Cons
- A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
- Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- Right now, the most sluggish paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the San Francisco 49ers.
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.0 per game) this year.
- The San Francisco O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards
56
Receiving Yards
