Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Cardinals vs. Giants
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 213.5 yards (-113/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 213.5 (-113) after it opened @ 204.5 (-115).
Pros
- The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Daniel Jones has been among the most on-target QBs in football since the start of last season with a terrific 67.1% Completion%, checking in at the 90th percentile.
- Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in football vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season (73.3%).
- The Arizona Cardinals defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.89 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-most in football.
Cons
- The Giants are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 31.1 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
- The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
218
Passing Yards
218
Passing Yards
