Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Taylor HeinickePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Giants vs. Commanders
Right now, Taylor Heinicke’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 200.5 (-110) after it opened @ 208.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- The Washington Commanders have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
- The New York Giants linebackers project as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.
- The Washington Commanders O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
- The New York Giants pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the most sluggish in the NFL since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to attempt 28.7 passes this week, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
- Taylor Heinicke has been among the worst quarterbacks in football this year, averaging 193.0 yards per game while ranking in the 22nd percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
188
Passing Yards
188
Passing Yards
