Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Commanders vs. Falcons
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-108/-127).
The public has bet the OVER up to 38.5 (-108) after it opened @ 33.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely creating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects Drake London to total 7.0 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
- Drake London has been heavily involved in his team’s passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 27.0% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
- Drake London has accounted for a colossal 26.9% of his team’s air yards this year: 79th percentile among WRs.
- The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the league (151.0) versus WRs this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 45.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
- Drake London has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 59.0% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 13th percentile among wide receivers
Projection
THE BLITZ
46
Receiving Yards
46
Receiving Yards
