FTN NBA Betting Show: November 6th
Alex Christenson
Prop God
Dane Martinez
Team Profile
Atlanta Falcons
6-4-0
1st
NFC South
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15.2% 7thOff DVOA
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33.2% 7thPassing DVOA
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9.7% 4thRushing DVOA
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4.8% 21stDef DVOA
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12.2% 20thDef Passing DVOA
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-4.7% 21stDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For23.8 13th
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Points Against23.6 20th
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Yards Per Game377.0 6th
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Yards Allowed Per Game353.0 23rd
Ftn model pick
Projected Points
53.75%
Projected Points
46.32%
| Edge | Win % | Sportbook | |
|---|---|---|---|
Spread
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Moneyline
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Total
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Matchup Stats
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Starting lineup
Denver Broncos
Matchup STATS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Points Per Game
|
23.8
|
13
|
18.9
|
7
|
|
Yards Per Game
|
377.0
|
6
|
298.0
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Passing Yards
|
2,523
|
3
|
1,945
|
16
|
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
7.5
|
8
|
5.9
|
4
|
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
17
|
6
|
12
|
11
|
|
Interceptions
|
8
|
19
|
7
|
13
|
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
12
|
22
|
|
23
|
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
10
|
|
18
|
|
Pass Rate
|
57.0%
|
21
|
60.6%
|
21
|
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
9.9%
|
12
|
|
10
|
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
27
|
|
31
|
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
5
|
|
2
|
|
Man Yards per Attempt
|
|
7
|
|
11
|
|
Zone Yards per Attempt
|
|
7
|
|
4
|
|
Pressure Rate
|
|
2
|
|
2
|
|
Time to Throw
|
|
7
|
|
20
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rushing Yards
|
1,247
|
9
|
1,035
|
11
|
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
4.6
|
11
|
3.9
|
5
|
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
8
|
16
|
6
|
5
|
|
Fumbles
|
10
|
23
|
8
|
18
|
|
Rush Rate
|
43.0%
|
12
|
39.4%
|
12
|
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
5
|
|
6
|
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
8
|
|
17
|
|
Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
7
|
|
31
|
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
21
|
|
3
|
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
21
|
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Points Per Game
|
21.7
|
18
|
23.6
|
20
|
|
Yards Per Game
|
307.0
|
24
|
353.0
|
23
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Passing Yards
|
1,899
|
21
|
2,234
|
25
|
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
5.8
|
25
|
6.5
|
14
|
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
11
|
18
|
17
|
25
|
|
Interceptions
|
6
|
11
|
7
|
13
|
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
10
|
13
|
|
13
|
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
6
|
|
19
|
|
Pass Rate
|
61.0%
|
9
|
58.9%
|
18
|
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
9.8%
|
14
|
|
4
|
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
21
|
|
14
|
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
11
|
|
19
|
|
Man Yards per Attempt
|
|
18
|
|
5
|
|
Zone Yards per Attempt
|
|
29
|
|
9
|
|
Pressure Rate
|
|
12
|
|
31
|
|
Time to Throw
|
|
29
|
|
31
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rushing Yards
|
1,171
|
16
|
1,294
|
23
|
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
4.4
|
14
|
4.5
|
19
|
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
7
|
22
|
5
|
3
|
|
Fumbles
|
9
|
17
|
10
|
7
|
|
Rush Rate
|
39.0%
|
24
|
41.1%
|
15
|
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
13
|
|
25
|
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
19
|
|
19
|
|
Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
30
|
|
26
|
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
15
|
|
22
|
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
14
|
|
9
|
Player Projections
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
22.3
|
32.4
|
68.9
|
232.9
|
7.2
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
3.3
|
0.1
|
14.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16.0
|
64.7
|
4.0
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
4.1
|
28.7
|
0.2
|
14.8
|
|
|
8.4
|
34.9
|
4.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.7
|
4.6
|
-
|
5.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.9
|
57.4
|
9.8
|
0.4
|
-
|
-
|
10.9
|
|
|
4.3
|
56.0
|
13.0
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
9.0
|
|
|
3.5
|
43.5
|
12.5
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
7.4
|
|
|
3.1
|
26.3
|
8.4
|
0.2
|
3.3
|
-
|
5.3
|
|
|
0.7
|
16.5
|
22.3
|
0.0
|
-
|
-
|
2.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23.8
|
34.8
|
68.4
|
213.1
|
6.1
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
29.2
|
0.3
|
17.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8.3
|
33.8
|
4.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
3.3
|
20.5
|
0.1
|
8.7
|
|
|
8.6
|
37.9
|
4.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.6
|
3.8
|
-
|
6.2
|
|
|
3.8
|
15.9
|
4.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
1.3
|
3.4
|
-
|
3.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.4
|
64.3
|
11.9
|
0.4
|
-
|
-
|
11.3
|
|
|
3.0
|
26.5
|
8.9
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
5.2
|
|
|
2.5
|
22.6
|
9.1
|
0.2
|
1.4
|
-
|
4.7
|
|
|
2.6
|
21.2
|
8.1
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
4.4
|
|
|
2.1
|
17.8
|
8.4
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.3
|
|
1.6
|
8.7
|
5.5
|
0.1
|
1.2
|
-
|
2.2
|
|
|
1.4
|
24.4
|
17.0
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.6
|
