Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Packers vs. Chiefs
Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 44.5 (-120) after it opened @ 48.5 (-120).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
- Rashee Rice checks in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 80.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 99th percentile among WRs.
- Rashee Rice profiles as one of the most efficient receivers in football, averaging a remarkable 10.68 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
- Rashee Rice has been one of the best wide receivers in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 8.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 99th percentile.
- The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.4%) vs. WRs this year (68.4%).
Cons
- A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
- At the moment, the 10th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Kansas City Chiefs.
- Opposing teams have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
- The Green Bay cornerbacks profile as the 9th-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards
55
Receiving Yards
