Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kirk CousinsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Vikings vs. 49ers
Right now, Kirk Cousins’s passing yards prop is set at 249.5 yards (+112/-148).
The public has bet the OVER up to 249.5 (+112) after it opened @ 232.5 (-113).
Pros
- This game’s line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
- The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 69.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
- The 49ers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.
- Kirk Cousins is positioned as one of the leading passers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 282.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Vikings to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
- This year, the fierce 49ers defense has allowed the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a paltry 6.1 yards.
- This year, the strong San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing offenses: a meager 4.9 YAC.
- The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
270
Passing Yards
270
Passing Yards
