Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tua TagovailoaPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Eagles vs. Dolphins
Right now, Tua Tagovailoa’s passing yards prop is set at 281.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 281.5 (-110) after it opened @ 269.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 4th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- This week, Tua Tagovailoa is expected by our trusted projection set to total the 5th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.8.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.
- Tua Tagovailoa’s 304.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a a noteable progression in his passing prowess over last year’s 253.0 mark.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Dolphins offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.83 seconds per play.
- The Eagles defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.32 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in football.
- When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Philadelphia’s collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
257
Passing Yards
257
Passing Yards
