WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Zay FlowersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Browns vs. Ravens
Right now, Zay Flowers’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
- The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Zay Flowers has been on the field for 84.8% of his offense’s snaps this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
- Our trusted projections expect Zay Flowers to notch 8.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
- Zay Flowers has been among the best possession receivers in football, catching an impressive 85.1% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the league.
- The Browns defense has conceded the 2nd-fewest receiving yards per game in the league (just 127.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.
- The Cleveland Browns pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (60.9%) versus WRs since the start of last season (60.9%).
- As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Cleveland’s collection of safeties has been tremendous since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards
66
Receiving Yards
