Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Javonte WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Bears vs. Broncos
Right now, Javonte Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-110) after it opened @ 52.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Broncos are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
- Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 7th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The model projects Javonte Williams to accumulate 15.1 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
- Javonte Williams has garnered 56.5% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-most yards in football (155 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Javonte Williams has taken a step back when it comes to generating extra ground yardage this year, accumulating 2.36 yards-after-contact vs a 3.49 mark last year.
- The Chicago Bears linebackers profile as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards
62
Rushing Yards
