Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Evan EngramReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Jaguars vs. Falcons
Right now, Evan Engram’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 45.5 (-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.60 seconds per play.
- Evan Engram has run a route on 83.2% of his team’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
- The projections expect Evan Engram to garner 6.7 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among TEs.
- Evan Engram has been among the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 45.0 yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.
- The Falcons defense has given up the 4th-most receiving yards per game in football (59.0) to tight ends since the start of last season.
Cons
- The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.28 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in football.
- As it relates to safeties getting after the quarterback, Atlanta’s safety corps has been terrific since the start of last season, projecting as the best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards
44
Receiving Yards
