Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Alexander MattisonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Vikings vs. Chargers
Right now, Alexander Mattison’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-111/-123).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-123) after it opened @ 58.5 (-117).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Minnesota Vikings have run the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Alexander Mattison to total 15.4 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, allowing 5.41 yards-per-carry.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 32.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards
62
Rushing Yards
