First TD Bets — Wild Card Monday Slate
Alex Christenson
Team Profile
Buffalo Bills
13-4-0
1st
AFC East
-
20.7% 2ndOff DVOA
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46.6% 2ndPassing DVOA
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7.4% 5thRushing DVOA
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-4.7% 11thDef DVOA
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4.3% 14thDef Passing DVOA
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-16.9% 8thDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For30.9 2nd
-
Points Against21.6 10th
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Yards Per Game359.0 10th
-
Yards Allowed Per Game342.0 17th
Ftn model pick
58.66%
41.34%
| Edge | Win % | Sportbook | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Spread
|
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Moneyline
|
|
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|
Total
|
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Matchup Stats
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Starting lineup
Buffalo Bills
Matchup STATS
Rank
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
30.9
|
2 nd
|
19.0
|
3 rd
|
Points Per Game
|
26.2
|
9 th
|
21.6
|
10 th
|
|
359.0
|
10 th
|
317.0
|
7 th
|
Yards Per Game
|
325.0
|
19 th
|
342.0
|
17 th
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3,877
|
9 th
|
3,752
|
19 th
|
Passing Yards
|
3,610
|
20 th
|
3,854
|
24 th
|
|
7.5
|
5 th
|
6.2
|
2 nd
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
6.3
|
19 th
|
6.7
|
19 th
|
|
30
|
7 th
|
22
|
6 th
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
30
|
7 th
|
28
|
24 th
|
|
6
|
3 rd
|
15
|
8 th
|
Interceptions
|
12
|
16 th
|
16
|
5 th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
|
nd
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Pass Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
|
th
|
|
rd
|
|
|
rd
|
|
st
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
nd
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Man Yards Per Attempt
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Zone Yards Per Attempt
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
nd
|
Pressure Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
rd
|
|
th
|
Time to Throw
|
|
th
|
|
rd
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2,230
|
9 th
|
1,639
|
3 rd
|
Rushing Yards
|
1,908
|
16 th
|
1,963
|
13 th
|
|
4.5
|
11 th
|
3.9
|
2 nd
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
4.1
|
20 th
|
4.5
|
18 th
|
|
32
|
1 st
|
10
|
3 rd
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
12
|
23 rd
|
13
|
10 th
|
|
9
|
2 nd
|
17
|
10 th
|
Fumbles
|
13
|
8 th
|
23
|
2 nd
|
|
43.5%
|
8 th
|
35.6%
|
5 th
|
Rush Rate
|
39.1%
|
18 th
|
39.2%
|
13 th
|
|
|
th
|
|
rd
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
rd
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
th
|
|
nd
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
Player Projections
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19.7
|
31.2
|
63.3
|
231.5
|
7.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
28.6
|
0.5
|
19.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16.8
|
68.9
|
4.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
1.8
|
13.9
|
0.1
|
12.2
|
|
|
2.9
|
10.5
|
3.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
2.0
|
-
|
1.7
|
|
|
3.1
|
13.3
|
4.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
1.6
|
24.2
|
0.1
|
5.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.4
|
45.8
|
10.5
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
8.1
|
|
|
3.1
|
30.5
|
9.9
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
5.5
|
|
|
3.7
|
44.8
|
12.1
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
7.2
|
|
|
0.3
|
2.2
|
8.1
|
0.0
|
0.7
|
-
|
0.6
|
|
|
0.6
|
8.7
|
13.9
|
0.0
|
-
|
-
|
1.4
|
|
|
2.5
|
39.4
|
15.8
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
6.5
|
|
|
1.7
|
20.0
|
11.9
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
22.8
|
32.9
|
69.4
|
222.9
|
6.8
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
26.2
|
0.3
|
17.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11.3
|
47.7
|
4.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
1.1
|
3.3
|
-
|
6.2
|
|
|
6.3
|
24.3
|
3.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
2.7
|
16.9
|
0.1
|
6.6
|
|
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
||
|
2.5
|
9.8
|
3.9
|
-
|
0.0
|
1.0
|
4.9
|
-
|
1.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.0
|
13.8
|
13.5
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
2.2
|
|
|
0.9
|
6.8
|
7.5
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
1.4
|
|
|
1.1
|
8.6
|
7.7
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
1.7
|
|
|
5.7
|
70.5
|
12.5
|
0.4
|
-
|
-
|
12.0
|
|
|
3.3
|
40.0
|
12.1
|
0.2
|
1.8
|
-
|
7.1
|
|
|
2.6
|
28.3
|
10.8
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
4.9
|
|
|
2.3
|
20.2
|
8.8
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.5
|
|
|
1.1
|
9.7
|
8.9
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
1.8
|
