Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 45.5 (-120) after it opened @ 43.5 (-115).

Pros

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Falcons have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
In this game, Drake London is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.9 targets.
When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Falcons ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
Drake London checks in as one of the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 58.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

Cons

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 49.8% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 33.0 per game) this year.
Drake London has been a much smaller part of his team’s passing attack this year (24.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (29.1%).
Drake London has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (70.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).
The Jets defense has given up the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 107.0) versus wide receivers this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
47
Receiving Yards