Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tony PollardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Cowboys vs. Giants
Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (-105/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 63.5 (-115) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cowboys are a huge 10-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- The Cowboys have been the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 42.6% run rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Tony Pollard has rushed for a lot more yards per game (66.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).
- The New York Giants defense has had the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 5.28 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards
61
Rushing Yards
