Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Darius SlaytonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Cowboys vs. Giants
Right now, Darius Slayton’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Darius Slayton has accrued substantially more receiving yards per game (58.0) this season than he did last season (26.0).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.
- The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
- The Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) versus WRs this year.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) to WRs this year (64.0%).
- The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
