Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Mac JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Vikings vs. Patriots
Right now, Mac Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 228.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet the OVER up to 228.5 (-127) after it opened @ 224.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 38.4 passes in this game, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.
- Mac Jones has been among the most accurate QBs in the NFL this year with an impressive 69.3% Completion%, ranking in the 91st percentile.
- Opposing QBs have passed for the 3rd-most yards in the league (263.0 per game) versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.
Cons
- The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
- The New England Patriots O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
- The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
Projection
THE BLITZ
287
Passing Yards
287
Passing Yards
