Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Giants vs. Lions
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 99.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 99.5 (-110) after it opened @ 97.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Saquon Barkley has run for a lot more yards per game (99.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (163 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year.
Cons
- The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
- The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
102
Rushing Yards
102
Rushing Yards
