Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
DK MetcalfReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Buccaneers vs. Seahawks
Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to accrue 9.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
- DK Metcalf has accrued significantly more air yards this year (102.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
- DK Metcalf’s 69.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 96th percentile for wide receivers.
Cons
- The Seattle Seahawks have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.9 plays per game.
- DK Metcalf has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL, averaging just 7.31 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (60.8%) to wide receivers this year (60.8%).
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wide receivers this year, giving up 6.95 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards
67
Receiving Yards
