Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Lions vs. Raiders
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 73.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 73.5 (-115) after it opened @ 70.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Las Vegas Raiders may rely on the pass game less in this game (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brian Hoyer.
- An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a massive -7-point underdog this week.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
- In this week’s contest, Davante Adams is expected by the model to find himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.9 targets.
Cons
- Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the projection model to call only 60.7 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
- The Raiders have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 54.4 plays per game.
- Davante Adams’s talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, notching just 3.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.95 figure last year.
- This year, the stout Detroit Lions pass defense has surrendered the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 2.7 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
94
Receiving Yards
94
Receiving Yards
