Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Michael PittmanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Colts vs. Browns
Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- This week’s line implies a throwing game script for the Colts, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.4 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
- The Indianapolis Colts have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
- Michael Pittman has run a route on 98.5% of his offense’s passing plays this year, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
- Michael Pittman’s 51.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a a noteable decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 61.0 figure.
Cons
- With a 58.3% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Indianapolis Colts.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
- This year, the fierce Browns defense has conceded a feeble 82.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the best in the NFL.
- This year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has allowed a meager 44.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the best rate in football.
- The Cleveland Browns safeties profile as the 8th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards
67
Receiving Yards
