WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Tyler ConklinReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Broncos vs. Jets
Right now, Tyler Conklin’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-131/-104).
The public has bet the OVER up to 27.5 (-131) after it opened @ 27.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Jets will be forced to use backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this week’s contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- In this contest, Tyler Conklin is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.0 targets.
- Tyler Conklin has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, earning a Target Share of 16.2% this year, which places him in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
- Tyler Conklin has been among the best TE receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 32.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.
- The Broncos defense has been gouged for the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (56.0) to TEs this year.
Cons
- Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
- The New York Jets have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 49.5 plays per game.
- After averaging 38.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Conklin has significantly declined this season, currently averaging 30.0 per game.
Projection
THE BLITZ
31
Receiving Yards
31
Receiving Yards
