Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Raiders vs. Steelers
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to total 10.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
- Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 31.2% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
- Davante Adams has posted a monstrous 120.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among wideouts.
- The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Cons
- The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 8th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the league.
- Davante Adams’s talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, totaling a measly 3.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.95 mark last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
88
Receiving Yards
88
Receiving Yards
