Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Travis EtienneRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Jaguars vs. Texans
Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-140/+110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (-140) after it opened @ 69.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Jaguars are a heavy 7.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to garner 17.9 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
- Travis Etienne has generated 65.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the league among RBs (93rd percentile).
- Opposing squads have rushed for the most yards in football (167 per game) against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 37.0% run rate.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
- Travis Etienne’s rushing effectiveness has declined this season, totaling just 3.70 yards-per-carry compared to a 5.08 figure last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
84
Rushing Yards
84
Rushing Yards
