Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Marcus MariotaPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Falcons vs. Steelers
Right now, Marcus Mariota’s passing yards prop is set at 168.5 yards (-110/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 168.5 (-110) after it opened @ 164.5 (-115).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
- The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
- Marcus Mariota has passed for a lot more yards per game (169.0) this year than he did last year (1.0).
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the 5th-most yards in football (273.0 per game) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.8 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 28.3 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
- Marcus Mariota has been among the worst precision passers in the NFL this year with a 61.1% Completion%, ranking in the 15th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
211
Passing Yards
211
Passing Yards
