Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jamaal WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Lions vs. Bills
Right now, Jamaal Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-108/-127).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-127) after it opened @ 50.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to total 14.6 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
- Jamaal Williams has garnered 60.9% of his offense’s carries this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
- The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the best in the league this year in run blocking.
- Jamaal Williams has run for a lot more yards per game (70.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).
Cons
- The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 7th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Jamaal Williams has been among the bottom running backs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.70 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 22nd percentile.
- Opposing teams have run for the 8th-least yards in football (just 106 per game) vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards
61
Rushing Yards
