Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jakobi MeyersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Vikings vs. Patriots
Right now, Jakobi Meyers’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-135/-101).
The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-135) after it opened @ 52.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to earn 8.9 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
- Jakobi Meyers has notched substantially more receiving yards per game (67.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).
- The Minnesota Vikings defense has conceded the 5th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (163.0) versus WRs this year.
Cons
- The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
- Jakobi Meyers has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (66.0 per game) than he did last year (71.0 per game).
- The New England Patriots O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
- The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
Projection
THE BLITZ
78
Receiving Yards
78
Receiving Yards
