Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Cowboys vs. Giants
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 73.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 73.5 (-110) after it opened @ 76.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.8% run rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to earn 18.9 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among RBs.
- Saquon Barkley has run for a lot more yards per game (90.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
Cons
- The Giants are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year at opening holes for runners.
- The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
82
Rushing Yards
82
Rushing Yards
