Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Robert WoodsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Texans vs. Titans
Right now, Robert Woods’s receiving yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (-115/-114).
The public has bet the OVER up to 36.5 (-115) after it opened @ 36.5 (-115).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
- Robert Woods has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 20.7% this year, which puts him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
- Robert Woods’s receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 66.1% to 69.8%.
- The Houston Texans defense has given up the 9th-most receiving yards per game in football (169.0) to wide receivers this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 52.5 plays per game.
- Robert Woods has notched quite a few less air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
- The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards
52
Receiving Yards
