FTN NFL Model Best Bet: Week 6
FTN Staff
Team Profile
Atlanta Falcons
3-2-0
1st
NFC South
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14.9% 7thOff DVOA
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39.1% 5thPassing DVOA
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-3.5% 16thRushing DVOA
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7.9% 20thDef DVOA
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17% 20thDef Passing DVOA
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-2.3% 21stDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For22.2 18th
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Points Against23.0 20th
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Yards Per Game357.0 10th
-
Yards Allowed Per Game336.0 18th
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Points Per Game
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24.8
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18.4
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21.5
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18.7
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22.2
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Yards Per Game
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368.0
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304.0
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319.0
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334.0
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357.0
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Passing Yards
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4,359
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3,713
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2,707
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3,524
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1,303
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Pass Yards per Game
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272.4
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218.4
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159.2
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207.3
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260.6
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Pass Yards per Attempt
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6.9
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6.5
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6.5
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6.6
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7.3
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Passing Touchdowns
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27
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20
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17
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17
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8
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Interceptions
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11
|
15
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9
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17
|
5
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Interception Worthy Throws
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21
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29
|
20
|
33
|
9
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Catchable Air Yards
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Pass Rate
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63.5%
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62.5%
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48.5%
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55.2%
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63.9%
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Explosive Pass Rate
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9.4%
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7.7%
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8.9%
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8.7%
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9.0%
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Man Coverage Rate
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Zone Coverage Rate
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Man Yards per Attempt
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Zone Yards per Attempt
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Pressure Rate
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Time to Throw
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Rushing Yards
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1,532
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1,451
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2,718
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2,159
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484
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Rush Yards per Game
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95.8
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85.4
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159.9
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127.0
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96.8
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Rushing Yards Per Attempt
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3.7
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3.7
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4.9
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4.1
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4.5
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Rushing Touchdowns
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13
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11
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17
|
14
|
1
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Fumbles
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13
|
20
|
16
|
21
|
4
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Rush Rate
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36.5%
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37.5%
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51.5%
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44.8%
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36.1%
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Yards Before Contact
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Yards After Contact
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Missed Tackle Rate
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Stuffed Run Rate
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Explosive Run Rate
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Points Per Game
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25.9
|
27.0
|
22.7
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21.9
|
23.0
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Yards Per Game
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398.0
|
364.0
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362.0
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321.0
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336.0
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Pass Yards
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4,693
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3,952
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3,942
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3,449
|
937
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Pass Yards per Game
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293.3
|
232.5
|
231.9
|
202.9
|
187.4
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Pass Yards per Attempt
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7.5
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6.8
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7.0
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6.3
|
6.2
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Passing Touchdowns
|
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34
|
31
|
26
|
24
|
6
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Interceptions
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12
|
12
|
10
|
8
|
3
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Interception Worthy Throws
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Catchable Air Yards
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|
|
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Pass Rate
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66.1%
|
56.2%
|
55.6%
|
56.9%
|
53.5%
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Explosive Pass Rate
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Man Coverage Rate
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Zone Coverage Rate
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Man Yards per Attempt
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Zone Yards per Attempt
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Pressure Rate
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Time to Throw
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Rushing Yards
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1,679
|
2,242
|
2,209
|
2,009
|
742
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Rush Yards per Game
|
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104.9
|
131.9
|
129.9
|
118.2
|
148.4
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Rushing Yards Per Attempt
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4.4
|
4.3
|
4.4
|
4.0
|
4.4
|
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Rushing Touchdowns
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|
15
|
19
|
15
|
11
|
4
|
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Fumbles
|
|
18
|
16
|
10
|
20
|
3
|
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Rush Rate
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33.9%
|
43.8%
|
44.4%
|
43.1%
|
46.5%
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Yards Before Contact
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Yards After Contact
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Missed Tackle Rate
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Stuffed Run Rate
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Explosive Run Rate
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||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Points Per Game
|
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16
|
26
|
16
|
26
|
18
|
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Yards Per Game
|
|
18
|
29
|
24
|
17
|
10
|
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||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Passing Yards
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5
|
16
|
31
|
22
|
6
|
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Pass Yards per Attempt
|
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16
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
10
|
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Passing Touchdowns
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13
|
25
|
24
|
26
|
6
|
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Interceptions
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|
9
|
21
|
3
|
25
|
26
|
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Interception Worthy Throws
|
|
20
|
17
|
1
|
30
|
32
|
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Catchable Air Yards
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|
2
|
23
|
24
|
16
|
9
|
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Pass Rate
|
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12
|
12
|
32
|
30
|
8
|
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
|
12
|
25
|
16
|
15
|
11
|
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Man Coverage Rate
|
|
1
|
1
|
26
|
32
|
23
|
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Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
1
|
1
|
7
|
1
|
10
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Man Yards per Attempt
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|
1
|
1
|
27
|
16
|
9
|
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Zone Yards per Attempt
|
|
1
|
1
|
8
|
17
|
7
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Pressure Rate
|
|
22
|
12
|
20
|
6
|
6
|
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Time to Throw
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|
26
|
13
|
30
|
15
|
15
|
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||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Rushing Yards
|
|
1532
|
1451
|
2718
|
2159
|
484
|
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Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
|
31
|
30
|
4
|
16
|
13
|
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
|
22
|
27
|
10
|
15
|
32
|
|
Fumbles
|
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8
|
29
|
18
|
27
|
10
|
|
Rush Rate
|
|
21
|
21
|
1
|
3
|
24
|
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Yards Before Contact
|
|
22
|
29
|
3
|
13
|
19
|
|
Yards After Contact
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|
30
|
31
|
3
|
6
|
17
|
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Missed Tackle Rate
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18
|
29
|
3
|
4
|
3
|
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Stuffed Run Rate
|
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21
|
29
|
6
|
22
|
20
|
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Explosive Run Rate
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|
32
|
21
|
9
|
10
|
8
|
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||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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|
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Points Per Game
|
|
19
|
29
|
23
|
18
|
20
|
|
Yards Per Game
|
|
28
|
26
|
26
|
11
|
18
|
|
|
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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|
|
|
|
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Pass Yards
|
|
32
|
18
|
25
|
8
|
10
|
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Pass Yards per Attempt
|
|
28
|
22
|
25
|
9
|
9
|
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
|
27
|
26
|
23
|
22
|
12
|
|
Interceptions
|
|
14
|
20
|
24
|
27
|
13
|
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
|
16
|
16
|
20
|
30
|
27
|
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
28
|
7
|
23
|
23
|
3
|
|
Pass Rate
|
|
30
|
5
|
5
|
4
|
7
|
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
|
29
|
17
|
20
|
16
|
1
|
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
1
|
1
|
10
|
29
|
17
|
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
1
|
1
|
23
|
3
|
16
|
|
Man Yards per Attempt
|
|
1
|
1
|
19
|
10
|
4
|
|
Zone Yards per Attempt
|
|
1
|
1
|
22
|
11
|
17
|
|
Pressure Rate
|
|
18
|
5
|
31
|
17
|
29
|
|
Time to Throw
|
|
25
|
16
|
12
|
1
|
19
|
|
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||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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Rushing Yards
|
|
6
|
27
|
23
|
20
|
29
|
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
|
14
|
13
|
15
|
9
|
12
|
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
|
13
|
26
|
18
|
8
|
10
|
|
Fumbles
|
|
6
|
12
|
30
|
6
|
20
|
|
Rush Rate
|
|
3
|
28
|
28
|
29
|
26
|
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
4
|
22
|
26
|
26
|
24
|
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
1102
|
1333
|
806
|
968
|
401
|
|
Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
29
|
18
|
21
|
12
|
30
|
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
8
|
29
|
32
|
2
|
14
|
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
23
|
12
|
10
|
15
|
7
|