Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Hayden HurstReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Seahawks vs. Panthers
Right now, Hayden Hurst’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-121/-113).
The public has bet the OVER up to 29.5 (-121) after it opened @ 28.5 (-121).
Pros
- The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
- The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per play.
- Hayden Hurst has been among the leading TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 33.0 yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
- The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the most receiving yards per game in football (72.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
31
Receiving Yards
31
Receiving Yards
