Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
D.J. MooreReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Chiefs vs. Bears
Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Bears are a huge 12.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
- D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.0% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
- THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to total 7.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among WRs.
- D.J. Moore has compiled a colossal 84.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 88th percentile among WRs.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.10 seconds per snap.
- D.J. Moore has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing just 60.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile among wide receivers
- The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 7.90 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards
56
Receiving Yards
