Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Adam TrautmanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Dolphins vs. Broncos
Right now, Adam Trautman’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Broncos are a 6-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the NFL.
- Adam Trautman’s sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 80.6% to 85.0%.
- Adam Trautman has been among the top tight ends in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 80th percentile.
- The Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in football (82.2%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (82.2%).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Adam Trautman’s pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, notching a mere 8.19 yards-per-target compared to a 9.19 rate last year.
- The Miami Dolphins pass defense has excelled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.50 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.
- The Miami Dolphins safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
25
Receiving Yards
25
Receiving Yards
