Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Derrick HenryRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Texans vs. Titans
Right now, Derrick Henry’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-110) after it opened @ 54.5 (-114).
Pros
- Right now, the 3rd-most run-oriented team in football (43.5% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
- In this week’s game, Derrick Henry is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.1 rush attempts.
Cons
- At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on passing than their normal approach.
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 64.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.
- The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Titans this year (a measly 55.2 per game on average).
- Derrick Henry has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (91.0).
- The Houston Texans defense boasts the best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 3.39 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
Projection
THE BLITZ
69
Rushing Yards
69
Rushing Yards
