Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Mike EvansReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Buccaneers vs. Jaguars
Right now, Mike Evans’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 9th-most in football.
- In this game, Mike Evans is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.8 targets.
- Mike Evans has notched many more air yards this year (125.0 per game) than he did last year (117.0 per game).
- Mike Evans’s 69.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 55.0.
- Mike Evans checks in as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a remarkable 69.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.
Cons
- With a weak 58.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (21st percentile) this year, Mike Evans has been as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among WRs.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks profile as the 9th-best CB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards
75
Receiving Yards
