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Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Darius Slayton from EV Insight

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Darius Slayton

Darius SlaytonReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 12

Cowboys vs. Giants

Right now, Darius Slayton’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-110).

Pros

  • The Giants are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Darius Slayton has accrued substantially more receiving yards per game (58.0) this season than he did last season (26.0).
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.
  • The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) versus WRs this year.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) to WRs this year (64.0%).
  • The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards

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