Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Mike WhitePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Jets vs. Bears
Right now, Mike White’s passing yards prop is set at 211.5 yards (+112/-154).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 211.5 (-154) after it opened @ 229.5 (-115).
Pros
- The New York Jets will be starting backup quarterback Mike White in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- Mike White has been among the most on-target QBs in the NFL since the start of last season with a stellar 67.7% Completion%, grading out in the 77th percentile.
- Mike White has been among the best per-play QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 7.68 yards-per-target while grading out in the 87th percentile.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in the league versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (73.9%).
- The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed weak efficiency this year, surrendering 8.37 yards-per-target: the 4th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- The Jets are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Mike White to attempt 31.1 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 26.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
196
Passing Yards
196
Passing Yards
