Team Profile
Atlanta Falcons
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3.5% 14thOff DVOA
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18.7% 16thPassing DVOA
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3.1% 7thRushing DVOA
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6.8% 26thDef DVOA
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17.2% 26thDef Passing DVOA
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-7.1% 20thDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For21.8 20th
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Points Against23.3 18th
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Yards Per Game363.0 9th
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Yards Allowed Per Game343.0 20th
Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Darnell Mooney (hamstring) is questionable to return to Sunday's matchup with the Denver Broncos. The wideout entered Week 11 with a Achilles injury but was removed from the injury report. However, he hasn't done much to benefit fantasy managers despite his availability, catching just two passes for 27 yards. If the hamstring injury keeps him off the field for the remainder of Week 11, Kirk Cousins will likely lean more on Drake London, Ray-Ray McCloud III, and Kyle Pitts, with Bijan Robinson in line for more targets out of the backfield.
Atlanta Falcons running back Tyler Allgeier carried the ball 11 times last week, the third time in the last five weeks that he's reached double-digit attempts while recording two TDs during that time. The 24-year-old nearly had a score last week as well, as the Falcons gave him three straight attempts from one yard out, only to be stuffed by the defense each time. Still, it means they trust him with the ball down there, even with star running back Bijan Robinson in tow. Still, without much of a role in the passing game, he's hard to trust for fantasy purposes as he isn't going to get many points unless he finds paydirt. Against a middle-of-the-road Denver rush defense this week, the matchup may look somewhat enticing, but with a somewhat low expected total and the Falcons as two-point underdogs, the potential game script does not appear to be in Allgeier's favor. View him as a mid-to-low-end RB3 in Week 11.
Atlanta Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins (elbow, shoulder) was a full participant in Friday's practice after popping up on the injury report earlier in the week. Cousins is coming off of 300-yard passing game versus the Saints in Week 10, but the yardage total came without a single TD and he threw a pick. The only two games this season in which the veteran signal-caller was held without a TD pass both came against the Saints, but Week 11 brings a tough road matchup against the Broncos who have limited QBs to the 11th-fewest fantasy points this season. Denver has been more vulnerable in recent weeks, though, allowing three straight 220-plus yard passers and six touchdowns over the last three weeks, compared to just two 220-yard passers and six TDS over the first seven weeks. View the 36-year-old as a low-end QB2 this week as they could decide to ride Bijan Robinson and the run game instead in a contest that has the Falcons as two-point underdogs with just 44 expected total points.
Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson has been one of the top running backs in fantasy through the first 10 weeks of the season, especially given his heavy involvement in the passing game. Last week's performance marked the fifth consecutive contest in which the 22-year-old went over 100 total yards rushing and receiving and the seventh straight in which he caught at least three passes. The former first-round draft pick is up to six rushing and one receiving touchdowns on the season, while his 41 receptions give him the third-most among running backs. In Week 11, the second-year pro will face a Denver rush defense that has allowed the 14th-most fantasy points to RBs and was pushed around by Derrick Henry as recently as Week 9 to the tune of 23-106-2. With the Broncos better against the pass, the Falcons may lean on the ground game more than usual in Week 11, but given his ability to catch passes out of the backfield, either way they choose to go puts Robinson in a position to finish as a high-end RB1 in Week 11.
Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts is within the top 10 in fantasy scoring at the position through 10 weeks of the season despite some inconsistent play, including a zero-catch performance in Week 4 and a one-catch performance in Week 9. The 24-year-old rebounded last week with four catches for 55 yards and this week gets a Denver defense that is middle of the pack in allowing production to TEs, although Travis Kelce torched them for 64 yards and a touchdown on eight catches last week. Pitts has a solid aDOT of 8.16 which has allowed him to average 14.3 yards per reception, so he doesn't need many catches to maintain relevance in PPR leagues. However, with his volatility still a concern, the former first-round draft pick projects as a back-end TE1 in Week 11.