Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Austin HooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Titans vs. Jaguars
Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (-110/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 21.5 (-115) after it opened @ 24.5 (-115).
Pros
- Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
- THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to accrue 4.7 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
- Austin Hooper has totaled a monstrous 27.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among TEs.
- Austin Hooper’s 30.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for TEs.
- Austin Hooper’s sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 68.0% to 77.6%.
Cons
- The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
35
Receiving Yards
35
Receiving Yards
