Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Gerald EverettReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Chargers vs. Seahawks
Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-120/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 35.5 (-115) after it opened @ 36.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
- The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to earn 6.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
Cons
- The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in football.
- The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
- Gerald Everett’s possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 62.3%.
- Gerald Everett’s pass-game efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging a measly 6.91 yards-per-target vs a 7.96 figure last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards
48
Receiving Yards
