Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Bengals vs. Falcons
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-113/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 44.5 (-115) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Drake London to earn 8.7 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
- Drake London has been an integral part of his team’s offense, garnering a Target Share of 32.3% this year, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
- Drake London has totaled a whopping 72.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among WRs.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.39 seconds per play.
- Drake London has been among the worst possession receivers in football, catching just 58.0% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 19th percentile among wideouts
- Drake London has been among the bottom wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
- The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 132.0) to wideouts this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards
67
Receiving Yards
