Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Russell WilsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Broncos vs. Commanders
Right now, Russell Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 7.91 yards-per-target: the 7th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
- The Broncos are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
- Russell Wilson has been among the worst precision passers in the league since the start of last season with a 60.3% Completion%, ranking in the 6th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
219
Passing Yards
219
Passing Yards
