Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Patriots vs. Chiefs
Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 56.5 (-114).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
- The leading projections forecast Rashee Rice to earn 8.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
- While Rashee Rice has earned 16.3% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Kansas City’s passing attack in this week’s contest at 24.5%.
- With a terrific 59.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (81st percentile) this year, Rashee Rice places among the top pass-catching wide receivers in football.
- This year, the anemic Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a monstrous 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 10th-worst rate in football.
Cons
- The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
- The Patriots pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.47 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
81
Receiving Yards
81
Receiving Yards
