FTN NBA Betting Show: November 6th
Alex Christenson
Prop God
Dane Martinez
Team Profile
San Francisco 49ers
5-4-0
2nd
NFC West
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14.8% 8thOff DVOA
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36.1% 4thPassing DVOA
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0.7% 10thRushing DVOA
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-12.3% 5thDef DVOA
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-17.5% 2ndDef Passing DVOA
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-4.8% 20thDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For25.9 7th
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Points Against22.4 16th
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Yards Per Game415.0 2nd
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Yards Allowed Per Game305.0 8th
Ftn model pick
Projected Points
68.89%
Projected Points
31.19%
| Edge | Win % | Sportbook | |
|---|---|---|---|
Spread
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Moneyline
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Total
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Matchup Stats
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Starting lineup
Matchup STATS
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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Points Per Game
|
25.9
|
7
|
24.6
|
23
|
|
Yards Per Game
|
415.0
|
2
|
358.0
|
24
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|
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|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Passing Yards
|
2,390
|
5
|
1,965
|
19
|
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
8.6
|
2
|
6.6
|
16
|
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
12
|
12
|
14
|
19
|
|
Interceptions
|
7
|
16
|
6
|
15
|
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
10
|
13
|
|
13
|
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
9
|
|
7
|
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Pass Rate
|
57.3%
|
19
|
57.1%
|
12
|
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Explosive Pass Rate
|
12.6%
|
2
|
|
19
|
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
10
|
|
17
|
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
23
|
|
16
|
|
Man Yards per Attempt
|
|
5
|
|
13
|
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Zone Yards per Attempt
|
|
1
|
|
22
|
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Pressure Rate
|
|
24
|
|
17
|
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Time to Throw
|
|
29
|
|
3
|
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|
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Rushing Yards
|
1,347
|
6
|
1,255
|
20
|
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
5.0
|
3
|
4.8
|
26
|
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
9
|
12
|
9
|
14
|
|
Fumbles
|
8
|
14
|
12
|
3
|
|
Rush Rate
|
42.7%
|
14
|
42.9%
|
20
|
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
6
|
|
30
|
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
7
|
|
22
|
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Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
8
|
|
14
|
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
10
|
|
26
|
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
8
|
|
9
|
|
|
|
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|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Points Per Game
|
23.3
|
15
|
22.4
|
16
|
|
Yards Per Game
|
359.0
|
9
|
305.0
|
8
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Passing Yards
|
2,414
|
4
|
1,785
|
9
|
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
7.0
|
13
|
6.2
|
7
|
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
11
|
18
|
11
|
9
|
|
Interceptions
|
10
|
25
|
10
|
6
|
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
18
|
31
|
|
8
|
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
11
|
|
12
|
|
Pass Rate
|
67.7%
|
2
|
59.7%
|
20
|
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
8.5%
|
18
|
|
8
|
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
21
|
|
9
|
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
11
|
|
24
|
|
Man Yards per Attempt
|
|
6
|
|
17
|
|
Zone Yards per Attempt
|
|
18
|
|
2
|
|
Pressure Rate
|
|
15
|
|
9
|
|
Time to Throw
|
|
18
|
|
11
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rushing Yards
|
821
|
28
|
956
|
7
|
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
4.1
|
22
|
4.3
|
8
|
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
11
|
7
|
11
|
25
|
|
Fumbles
|
6
|
4
|
14
|
1
|
|
Rush Rate
|
32.3%
|
31
|
40.3%
|
13
|
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
32
|
|
10
|
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
26
|
|
8
|
|
Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
1
|
|
17
|
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
30
|
|
13
|
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
17
|
|
7
|
Player Projections
|
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20.2
|
31.1
|
64.9
|
259.0
|
8.3
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
26.8
|
0.2
|
20.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17.3
|
95.2
|
5.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
4.4
|
38.3
|
0.3
|
21.9
|
|
|
3.1
|
16.7
|
5.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.5
|
4.2
|
-
|
3.0
|
|
2.2
|
12.3
|
5.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.3
|
1.2
|
-
|
2.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.1
|
62.8
|
15.4
|
0.3
|
12.9
|
0.1
|
12.0
|
|
|
4.4
|
64.4
|
14.7
|
0.4
|
-
|
-
|
10.9
|
|
|
3.7
|
56.2
|
15.1
|
0.4
|
-
|
-
|
9.7
|
|
|
2.8
|
32.0
|
11.3
|
0.3
|
-
|
-
|
6.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23.2
|
36.3
|
64.0
|
255.3
|
7.0
|
1.4
|
1.1
|
16.1
|
0.1
|
16.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13.5
|
51.4
|
3.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
3.2
|
24.3
|
0.1
|
12.3
|
|
|
4.3
|
15.2
|
3.5
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
2.2
|
15.4
|
0.1
|
5.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.7
|
74.0
|
15.8
|
0.4
|
-
|
-
|
11.8
|
|
4.9
|
52.5
|
10.8
|
0.3
|
-
|
-
|
9.2
|
|
|
3.8
|
42.9
|
11.3
|
0.3
|
-
|
-
|
7.7
|
|
|
2.1
|
23.2
|
11.2
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.8
|
|
1.8
|
16.6
|
9.4
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
2.9
|
|
|
0.8
|
6.5
|
8.5
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
1.3
|
