Team Profile
Baltimore Ravens
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35.2% 1stOff DVOA
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72.1% 1stPassing DVOA
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18.9% 1stRushing DVOA
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-8.1% 6thDef DVOA
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-0.5% 8thDef Passing DVOA
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-21.2% 4thDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For30.5 3rd
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Points Against21.2 8th
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Yards Per Game423.0 1st
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Yards Allowed Per Game324.0 10th
Baltimore Ravens tight end Isaiah Likely stepped up in a huge way while Mark Andrews (ankle) missed around half of the season. Since Week 12, including the divisional game against the Houston Texans, Likely caught 23 out of 31 targets for 356 yards and six touchdowns. He's also been seeing over 11 yards per target and played 63% of snaps or greater in each game except the regular season finale. Andrews was recently declared active for this game, but he may be on a snap count, which means they'll still have to rely on Likely for a sizeable chunk of the tight end work. There's even the possibility of using Andrews as more of a decoy or red zone target while Likely sees the rest of the targets. Likely is a TE2 with TE1 upside depending on the game script.
Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers has consistently hovered around WR2/WR3 territory all year, which has been amazing considering the fact that this is only his rookie year and the Ravens completely overhauled their offensive style and gameplan. Flowers normally would come in with a higher value, but the Kansas City Chiefs have been very good against opposing passing attacks, and if they decide to have L'Jarius Sneed shadow him, it will be a tough day. The sheer amount of targets that he gets on a game-to-game basis will keep him relevant in DFS lineups though. He led the team in targets this year with 108 and he caught 77 of them for 858 yards and five touchdowns. Flowers could be considered a WR2 again in this matchup.
Baltimore Ravens running back Justice Hill has taken over the backfield over the last four games, including their Divisional game against the Houston Texans. He received more carries and was more efficient in the passing game compared to his counterpart Gus Edwards. Hill has looked explosive and has been able to find the open areas of the field outside of the red zone. The next thing he needs to do to be a surefire start at running back in DFS is find the end zone, which will only happen if he does it before they get down to the red zone. He has a good chance of doing so against a Kansas City Chiefs defense that has shown holes in their run defense compared to their top-notch pass defense. Hill could be a sneaky flex option for DFS managers in this AFC Championship matchup.
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson gets to experience his first-ever AFC Championship game while the city of Baltimore gets to watch their team at home for the first time in the Ravens era for this big game. The home-field advantage is something not to be downplayed, especially because Jackson has noticeably better stats while playing at home despite suffering one more loss at home compared to on the road. His quarterback rating at home is 112.4 with 14 touchdowns through the air, three on the ground, four interceptions, and a 69.41 completion percentage on 219 attempts. He's also racked up 2039 passing yards and 435 rushing yards. While the Chiefs defense presents just as tough of a matchup as the Texans, Jackson should remain a high-level option in DFS lineups.
New Tennessee Titans head coach Brian Callahan said that he'd be fine with impending free-agent running back Derrick Henry returning in 2024. "A player like Derrick Henry fits into any offense. If he's open to a return, that fits for us. I'm never going to reject good players. There's no offense that would say I wouldn't went Derrick Henry," Callahan said. The former Bengals offensive coordinator preferred to lean on the pass in his time in Cincinnati with quarterback Joe Burrow, so it's pretty unlikely that Henry returns to the rebuilding Titans in 2024 and beyond. The 30-year-old is entering the back stretch of his career and will probably prefer signing with a contending team, so we'd be surprised if he returns to Tennessee. King Henry has passed the peak of his powers, but he still finished second in the NFL in rushing yardage in 2023 with 1,167.